Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.001670 0.001778 0.001889 0.002013 0.002147 0.002288 0.002447
2025-01-26 0.001454 0.001599 0.001755 0.001935 0.002139 0.002363 0.002629
2025-02-02 0.001379 0.001556 0.001752 0.001986 0.002261 0.002574 0.002960
2025-02-09 0.001315 0.001514 0.001740 0.002019 0.002356 0.002751 0.003255
2025-02-16 0.001291 0.001514 0.001774 0.002102 0.002509 0.003000 0.003647
2025-02-23 0.001229 0.001464 0.001743 0.002101 0.002556 0.003119 0.003880
2025-03-02 0.001147 0.001383 0.001668 0.002040 0.002522 0.003130 0.003971
2025-03-09 0.001083 0.001321 0.001613 0.002000 0.002509 0.003166 0.004093
2025-03-16 0.001043 0.001286 0.001588 0.001996 0.002542 0.003259 0.004295
2025-03-23 0.000997 0.001242 0.001550 0.001972 0.002546 0.003313 0.004443
2025-03-30 0.000961 0.001208 0.001523 0.001961 0.002565 0.003386 0.004619
2025-04-06 0.000917 0.001163 0.001480 0.001925 0.002546 0.003405 0.004718
2025-04-13 0.000879 0.001126 0.001449 0.001909 0.002563 0.003485 0.004925
2025-04-20 0.000822 0.001062 0.001378 0.001836 0.002496 0.003440 0.004945
2025-04-27 0.000812 0.001061 0.001394 0.001884 0.002604 0.003657 0.005380
2025-05-04 0.000797 0.001052 0.001398 0.001915 0.002688 0.003842 0.005778
2025-05-11 0.000798 0.001065 0.001434 0.001992 0.002845 0.004148 0.006394
2025-05-18 0.000774 0.001043 0.001417 0.001991 0.002882 0.004268 0.006708
2025-05-25 0.000735 0.000997 0.001364 0.001934 0.002829 0.004239 0.006765
2025-06-01 0.000705 0.000962 0.001326 0.001896 0.002803 0.004253 0.006897
2025-06-08 0.000685 0.000943 0.001310 0.001893 0.002831 0.004356 0.007193
2025-06-15 0.000662 0.000917 0.001283 0.001871 0.002828 0.004406 0.007397
2025-06-22 0.000643 0.000897 0.001264 0.001860 0.002842 0.004487 0.007661